5

Classy Cc

6yo Mare · 11-8 · OR 94

Fairyhouse · Racing Again October 10th Mares Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 2m

#4

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#4

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Best effort when runner-up in mares handicap at Naas (2m) in March. Has been somewhat typically inconsistent since, but possibly needed the run after 5 months off when mid-division in handicap at Roscommon 7 days ago. Cheekpieces back on in place of blinkers.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength16%

What the class read says

Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 7.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C9.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Naas 09/03/2025 · Pos 17th of 25 · OR - · 2m3f109y Sft 1599/03C8C8 @ Fairyhouse 20/04/2025 · Pos 12th of 22 · OR - · 2m25y Sft 159BHA100 @ Punchestown 15/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 100 · 2m95y Goo 151 · below its mark15/10/2025 · OR 100 par15/10100OR 100BHA97 @ Limerick 18/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 97 · 2m Hvy 153 · below its mark18/11/2025 · OR 97 parBHA96 @ Fairyhouse 01/01/2026 · Pos 10th of 24 · OR 96 · 2m4f Yie 153 · below its mark01/01/2026 · OR 96 par1/0196OR 96BHA95 @ Naas 04/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 17 · OR 95 · 2m Sft 164 · below its mark04/03/2026 · OR 95 parBHA97 @ Limerick 31/03/2026 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR 97 · 2m5f70y Sft 161 · below its mark31/03/2026 · OR 97 par31/0397OR 97BHA96 @ Sligo 12/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 15 · OR 96 · 2m1f166y Goo 165 · below its mark12/05/2026 · OR 96 parBHA95 @ Roscommon 28/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 16 · OR 95 · 1m7f135y Goo 166 · below its mark28/09/2026 · OR 95 par28/0995OR 95projClass-projected finish: 5th of 18
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-28RoscommonBHA958th8th0
2026-05-12SligoBHA964th4th0
2026-03-31LimerickBHA979th9th0
2026-03-04NaasBHA952nd2nd0
2026-01-01FairyhouseBHA9610th10th0
2025-11-18LimerickBHA973rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/0318/1131/0328/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1871% of fieldRange 9-17 · tight 67/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength29%

Delivery trend -4.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 18. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/03/202517th125/10%33%+0.33
20/04/202512th100/10%48%+0.48
15/10/20256th16/116%29%+0.13
18/11/20253rd20/10%71%+0.71
01/01/202610th14/126%61%+0.35
04/03/20262nd6/168%94%+0.25
31/03/20269th10/147%38%-0.09
12/05/20264th13/266%79%+0.13
28/09/20268th11/142%53%+0.11