Patty O'Farrell
8yo Mare · 11-8 · OR 94
Fairyhouse · Racing Again October 10th Mares Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 2m
#3
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Class-adjusted form 7.4 /10 (raw 7.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-28 | Roscommon | BHA95 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Roscommon | BHA95 | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-01 | Listowel | BHA93 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-18 | Bellewstown | BHA96 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-03-04 | Naas | BHA97 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-01-20 | Down Royal | BHA98 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -3.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 18. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/05/2025 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 73% | +0.10 |
| 02/06/2025 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 07/07/2025 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 86% | +0.15 |
| 15/12/2025 | 12th | 22/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 20/01/2026 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 50% | +0.45 |
| 04/03/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 63% | +0.47 |
| 18/04/2026 | 9th | 8/1 | 58% | 11% | -0.47 |
| 01/06/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 89% | +0.13 |
| 28/09/2026 | 13th | 20/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |