7
Teagarden Jazz
7yo Mare · 11-4 · OR 90
Fairyhouse · Racing Again October 10th Mares Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 2m
#7
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength7%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 8.2 /10 (raw 6.5)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C9.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Wexford | BHA91 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Wexford | BHA91 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Wexford | BHA94 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-01-29 | Thurles | BHA96 | 0 | ||
| 2025-08-04 | Cork | BHA100 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2025-07-13 | Sligo | BHA102 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1888% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 83/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength100%
Delivery trend +0.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 18.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09/2024 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 12/10/2024 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 38% | +0.32 |
| 03/11/2024 | 6th | 66/1 | 0% | 69% | +0.69 |
| 29/11/2024 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 44% | +0.39 |
| 13/07/2025 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 04/08/2025 | 13th | 33/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 16/05/2026 | 11th | 66/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 07/08/2026 | 3rd | 50/1 | 0% | 85% | +0.85 |
| 28/08/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 55% | +0.18 |