8

La Muleta

4yo Filly · 10-11

Fairyhouse · Adare Manor Opportunity Mares Maiden Hurdle · 2m 4f

#3

Rank

Odds

7/4

Win Prob

6%

Place Prob

16%

Rank

#3

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Runner-up sole start in points and shaped with encouragement when 15 lengths third of 8 to Splendid Fellow in maiden hurdle at Kilbeggan last month. Entitled to progress.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Kilbeggan 03/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 2m3f Goo 1573/09C8
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-03Kilbeggan?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 50/100
▲ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 2nd of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/09/20263rd20/10%71%+0.71