9
Little Bonnie
4yo Filly · 10-11
Fairyhouse · Adare Manor Opportunity Mares Maiden Hurdle · 2m 4f
#9
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▼8
Strength0%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 8.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: +8.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-15 | Naas | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-11-13 | Punchestown | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 10-10 · tight 71/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -57.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/11/2025 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 15/12/2025 | 10th | 14/1 | 26% | 31% | +0.04 |