9
Mary O'g
5yo Mare · 10-11
Fairyhouse · Winter Festival Tickets On Sale Now Maiden Hurdle · 2m 4f
#3
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#3
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▼8
Strength0%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: +8.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-19 | Thurles | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-01-03 | Cork | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1150% of fieldRange 11-11 · tight 71/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -66.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/01/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 19/02/2026 | 5th | 5/4 | 93% | 20% | -0.73 |