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4

Dinoland

8yo Gelding · 11-8 · OR 102

Fairyhouse · Winter Festival November 28th & 29th Handicap Hurdle · 3m

#1

Rank

Odds

2/1

Win Prob

100%

Place Prob

100%

Rank

#1

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Much improved for his current yard when landing handicap chases at Downpatrick (3m) and Tramore (2¾m) in May. Not seen since but reverts to hurdling off good mark and obvious claims if ready to go on the back of a 5-month absence.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength25%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 1.3 /10 (raw 4.6)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C9.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Down Royal 17/03/2024 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR 99 · 2m4f Sft 142 · below its mark17/03/2024 · OR 99 par17/03C8OR 99BHA98 @ Downpatrick 10/05/2024 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR 98 · 2m5f180y Gd 164 · below its mark10/05/2024 · OR 98 parBHA100 @ Kilbeggan 12/07/2024 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR 100 · 3m180y Goo 166 · below its mark12/07/2024 · OR 100 par12/07100OR 1004 @ Cartmel 20/07/2024 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 102 · 2m6f31y Gd 154 · beat its mark20/07/2024 · OR 102 parBHA102 @ Roscommon 06/08/2024 · Pos 11th of 16 · OR 102 · 2m7f213y Yie 162 · below its mark06/08/2024 · OR 102 par6/08102OR 102BHA102 @ Down Royal 30/08/2024 · Pos 1st of 19 · OR 102 · 3m Goo 168 · beat its mark30/08/2024 · OR 102 parC8 @ Downpatrick 20/09/2024 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 110 · 2m5f110y Gd 162 · below its mark20/09/2024 · OR 110 par20/09C8OR 110BHA95 @ Downpatrick 08/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 95 · 2m7f150y Goo 163 · beat its mark08/05/2026 · OR 95 parBHA102 @ Tramore 30/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 102 · 2m6f Goo 158 · beat its mark30/05/2026 · OR 102 par30/05102OR 102projClass-projected finish: 1st of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-30TramoreBHA1021st1st0
2026-05-08DownpatrickBHA951st1st0
2026-04-18BellewstownBHA1020
2026-04-12Down RoyalBHA970
2025-07-01TipperaryBHA970
2024-09-20Downpatrick?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/0320/0720/0930/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1392% of fieldRange 1-8 · tight 61/100
▲ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength86%

Delivery trend -6.5% per run

What the projection says

Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 2nd of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/03/20247th33/10%54%+0.54
10/05/20242nd16/116%93%+0.77
12/07/20242nd12/137%92%+0.55
20/07/20241st3/184%100%+0.16
06/08/202411th11/271%33%-0.38
30/08/20241st10/147%100%+0.53
20/09/20242nd16/583%80%-0.03
08/05/20261st11/271%100%+0.29
30/05/20261st5/287%100%+0.13