Leading Endeavour
7yo Mare · 10-4 · OR 84
Fairyhouse · Winter Festival November 28th & 29th Handicap Hurdle · 3m
#13
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Class-adjusted form 6.6 /10 (raw 6.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | Listowel | BHA86 | 0 | ||
| 2025-05-10 | Cork | BHA89 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-04-11 | Ballinrobe | BHA87 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-03-17 | Wexford | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-03-01 | Navan | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-02-13 | Clonmel | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +2.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/02/2025 | 8th | 80/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 13/02/2025 | 11th | 100/1 | 0% | 41% | +0.41 |
| 01/03/2025 | 5th | 200/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 17/03/2025 | 9th | 100/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 11/04/2025 | 3rd | 18/1 | 5% | 82% | +0.77 |
| 10/05/2025 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 73% | +0.36 |