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6

Mickey Cohen

5yo Gelding · 11-5 · OR 99

Fairyhouse · Winter Festival November 28th & 29th Handicap Hurdle · 3m

#10

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Fair form without winning over hurdles but won a maiden chase at Downpatrick last season. Creditable efforts over hurdles first 2 starts this season and shaped as if still in form back over fences last time. Returns to this sphere from lower mark and should be thereabouts.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength16%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 5.1)

Highest class: BHA67
Recent avg: C10.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA103 @ Wexford 17/05/2025 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR 103 · 3m Goo 142 · below its mark17/05/2025 · OR 103 par17/05103OR 103C8 @ Kilbeggan 11/07/2025 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 102 · 2m2f160y Gd 154 · below its mark11/07/2025 · OR 102 parBHA100 @ Downpatrick 10/08/2025 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR 100 · 2m5f180y Goo 166 · below its mark10/08/2025 · OR 100 par10/08100OR 100BHA98 @ Bellewstown 27/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR 98 · 2m4f110y Gd 161 · below its mark27/08/2025 · OR 98 parC0 @ Downpatrick 19/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 2m1f165y Yie 15619/09C?BHA100 @ Tipperary 06/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 100 · 2m7f60y Goo 155 · below its mark06/10/2025 · OR 100 parBHA100 @ Sligo 12/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR 100 · 2m4f116y Gd 168 · below its mark12/07/2026 · OR 100 par12/07100OR 100BHA100 @ Ballinrobe 11/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR 100 · 2m5f208y Goo 146 · below its mark11/09/2026 · OR 100 parBHA106 @ Downpatrick 18/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR 106 · 2m7f110y Gd 162 · below its mark18/09/2026 · OR 106 par18/09106OR 106projClass-projected finish: 5th of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-18DownpatrickBHA1066th6th0
2026-09-11BallinrobeBHA1005th5th0
2026-07-12SligoBHA1004th4th0
2025-10-06TipperaryBHA1002nd2nd0
2025-09-19Downpatrick?1st1st0
2025-08-27BellewstownBHA983rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/0527/0812/0718/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1367% of fieldRange 5-7 · tight 83/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength59%

Delivery trend +0.2% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 13.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/05/20256th9/153%58%+0.06
11/07/20253rd9/153%71%+0.19
10/08/20254th5/174%73%-0.01
27/08/20253rd11/271%86%+0.15
19/09/20251st9/488%100%+0.12
06/10/20252nd11/486%83%-0.02
12/07/20264th17/255%77%+0.22
11/09/20265th9/153%69%+0.17
18/09/20266th15/261%64%+0.04