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13

Technology

9yo Gelding · 10-4 · OR 84

Fairyhouse · Winter Festival November 28th & 29th Handicap Hurdle · 3m

#12

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Long-standing maiden who ran well when second in a 15-runner handicap at Down Royal in August, with the form boosted by the third winning since. However, he underlined his inconsistency at Clonmel last time and is hard to support with confidence.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 9.4 /10 (raw 5.9)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Leopardstown 19/06/2025 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR - · 1m7f Gd 16119/06C8BHA90 @ Roscommon 07/07/2025 · Pos 6th of 16 · OR 90 · 3m149y Gd 158 · below its mark07/07/2025 · OR 90 parBHA88 @ Wexford 24/07/2025 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR 88 · 3m Gd 157 · below its mark24/07/2025 · OR 88 par24/0788OR 88BHA88 @ Wexford 08/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR 88 · 3m Goo 159 · below its mark08/08/2025 · OR 88 parBHA89 @ Navan 20/09/2025 · Pos 9th of 16 · OR 89 · 2m5f Yie 147 · below its mark20/09/2025 · OR 89 par20/0989OR 89BHA88 @ Tipperary 06/10/2025 · Pos 12th of 15 · OR 88 · 2m7f60y Goo 157 · below its mark06/10/2025 · OR 88 parBHA84 @ Kilbeggan 10/07/2026 · Pos 12th of 15 · OR 84 · 3m180y Goo 152 · below its mark10/07/2026 · OR 84 par10/0784OR 84BHA82 @ Down Royal 28/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR 82 · 3m Goo 150 · below its mark28/08/2026 · OR 82 parBHA84 @ Clonmel 01/10/2026 · Pos 12th of 15 · OR 84 · 2m6f170y Gd 152 · below its mark01/10/2026 · OR 84 par1/1084OR 84projClass-projected finish: 13th of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-01ClonmelBHA8412th12th0
2026-08-28Down RoyalBHA822nd2nd0
2026-07-10KilbegganBHA8412th12th0
2026-07-02LimerickBHA840
2025-10-06TipperaryBHA8812th12th0
2025-09-20NavanBHA899th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/068/0810/071/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 138% of fieldRange 2-13 · tight 35/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength39%

Delivery trend +0.9% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 13.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/06/20259th150/10%33%+0.33
07/07/20256th5/174%67%-0.07
24/07/20254th7/282%77%-0.05
08/08/20252nd3/184%92%+0.08
20/09/20259th15/261%47%-0.14
06/10/202512th11/142%21%-0.21
10/07/202612th25/10%21%+0.21
28/08/20262nd20/10%93%+0.93
01/10/202612th17/255%21%-0.34