17
Comeonarchie
9yo Gelding · 11-5 · OR 91
Fairyhouse · Fairyhouse Racecourse Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 3m
#7
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C9.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-04 | Naas | BHA92 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-01-26 | Punchestown | BHA92 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-12-11 | Punchestown | BHA87 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-10-10 | Downpatrick | BHA90 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-08-08 | Wexford | BHA92 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-07-11 | Kilbeggan | BHA94 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 1719% of fieldRange 10-17 · tight 69/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength3%
Delivery trend -3.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 14th of 17. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/12/2024 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 94% | +0.57 |
| 13/01/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 92% | +0.07 |
| 09/02/2025 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 82% | +0.00 |
| 11/07/2025 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 77% | +0.77 |
| 08/08/2025 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 54% | +0.06 |
| 10/10/2025 | 8th | 15/2 | 61% | 30% | -0.31 |
| 11/12/2025 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 26/01/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 67% | +0.06 |
| 04/03/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 45% | +0.19 |