13
Drumadeise
5yo Mare · 10-5 · OR 77
Fairyhouse · Fairyhouse Racecourse Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 3m
#11
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength2%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 11.0 /10 (raw 11.2)
Highest class: BHA75
Recent avg: C7.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-26 | Listowel | BHA75 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | Killarney | BHA78 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Wexford | BHA79 | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-10 | Cork | BHA82 | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Kilbeggan | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Punchestown | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1882% of fieldRange 1-1 · tight 87/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +6.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 18. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/05/2026 | 12th | 125/1 | 0% | 35% | +0.35 |
| 06/06/2026 | 13th | 80/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 15/06/2026 | 11th | 125/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 10/07/2026 | 15th | 66/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 22/08/2026 | 14th | 28/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |
| 26/09/2026 | 2nd | 40/1 | 0% | 94% | +0.94 |