16
Gypsy Poet
5yo Gelding · 10-1 · OR 73
Fairyhouse · Fairyhouse Racecourse Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 3m
#13
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength1%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 7.1)
Highest class: BHA73
Recent avg: C7.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Galway | BHA73 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-28 | Down Royal | BHA75 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Kilbeggan | BHA76 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-10-31 | Down Royal | BHA76 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-10-12 | Cork | BHA77 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-08-29 | Wexford | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1859% of fieldRange 1-13 · tight 52/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength66%
Delivery trend -2.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 18. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07/2025 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 14/08/2025 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 29/08/2025 | 8th | 66/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 12/10/2025 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 63% | +0.47 |
| 31/10/2025 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 74% | +0.47 |
| 10/07/2026 | 10th | 8/1 | 58% | 36% | -0.22 |
| 28/08/2026 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 57% | -0.01 |
| 07/09/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 83% | +0.57 |