Itsaworkinmaniam
7yo Gelding · 12-0 · OR 100
Fairyhouse · Fairyhouse Racecourse Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 3m
#5
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 5.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Kilbeggan | BHA102 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-04 | Roscommon | BHA102 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-10-12 | Cork | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-09-20 | Navan | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-09-08 | Galway | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-08-22 | Kilbeggan | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -20.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 18. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08/2025 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 20/09/2025 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 93% | +0.78 |
| 12/10/2025 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 29% | -0.40 |
| 04/08/2026 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 04/09/2026 | 8th | 9/2 | 76% | 42% | -0.35 |