7
Las Brisas Boy
5yo Gelding · 11-1 · OR 87
Fairyhouse · Fairyhouse Racecourse Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 3m
#7
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength25%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 8.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Ballinrobe | BHA88 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Wexford | BHA87 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Sligo | BHA85 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Tramore | BHA86 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Punchestown | BHA85 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-17 | Down Royal | BHA88 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1871% of fieldRange 4-16 · tight 52/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength47%
Delivery trend -3.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 18. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/12/2025 | 16th | 80/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 26/12/2025 | 18th | 200/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 10/02/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 73% | +0.57 |
| 17/03/2026 | 8th | 15/2 | 61% | 46% | -0.14 |
| 13/05/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 78% | -0.01 |
| 30/05/2026 | 9th | 8/1 | 58% | 43% | -0.15 |
| 12/07/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 92% | +0.45 |
| 07/08/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 92% | +0.13 |
| 11/09/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 67% | -0.02 |