15
Magic Hands Noel
5yo Mare · 10-4 · OR 76
Fairyhouse · Fairyhouse Racecourse Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 3m
#14
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 15.6 /10 (raw 15.6)
Highest class: BHA77
Recent avg: C7.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Navan | BHA77 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-01-15 | Fairyhouse | ? | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2025-12-15 | Naas | ? | 17th | 17th | 0 |
| 2025-11-22 | Punchestown | ? | 18th | 18th | 0 |
| 2025-11-16 | Navan | ? | 22th | 22th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1763% of fieldRange 1-3 · tight 79/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +10.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 17. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/11/2025 | 22nd | 100/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 22/11/2025 | 18th | 200/1 | 0% | 26% | +0.26 |
| 15/12/2025 | 17th | 400/1 | 0% | 16% | +0.16 |
| 15/01/2026 | 15th | 150/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 19/09/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |