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2

The Monkey Pole

6yo Gelding · 12-0 · OR 100

Fairyhouse · Fairyhouse Racecourse Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 3m

#3

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#3

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Relatively lightly-raced maiden. Has shaped better than the bare result on his last 3 handicap starts, front-running exertions again taking their toll when 7¾ lengths fifth of 15 at Navan (21f). Longer trip a question mark and likely to face competition for the lead.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength1%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C9.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Wexford 08/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR - · 2m180y Goo 1588/08C8C8 @ Tramore 17/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR - · 2m5f80y Gd 158C0 @ Kilbeggan 05/09/2025 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR - · 2m3f100y Goo 1685/09C?C8 @ Tramore 20/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 2m80y Goo 158BHA110 @ Tramore 29/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 110 · 2m Goo 156 · below its mark29/05/2026 · OR 110 par29/05110OR 110C8 @ Cork 03/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 18 · OR 104 · 2m2f Goo 166 · below its mark03/08/2026 · OR 104 parBHA102 @ Kilbeggan 21/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 15 · OR 102 · 2m2f200y Goo 158 · below its mark21/08/2026 · OR 102 par21/08102OR 102BHA102 @ Navan 19/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 15 · OR 102 · 2m5f Gd 160 · below its mark19/09/2026 · OR 102 par19/09102OR 102projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 17
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-19NavanBHA1025th5th0
2026-08-21KilbegganBHA1025th5th0
2026-08-03Cork?3rd3rd0
2026-06-05ClonmelBHA1070
2026-05-29TramoreBHA1104th4th0
2026-04-20Tramore?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/0820/0421/0819/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 17100% of fieldRange 1-11 · tight 57/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +4.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 17. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/08/20252nd50/10%92%+0.92
17/08/20252nd3/184%83%-0.01
05/09/20259th6/168%27%-0.41
20/04/20264th11/893%70%-0.23
29/05/20264th12/137%40%+0.03
03/08/20263rd28/10%88%+0.88
21/08/20265th25/10%71%+0.71
19/09/20265th11/142%71%+0.29