3
Vision De Maine
7yo Gelding · 11-10 · OR 96
Fairyhouse · Fairyhouse Racecourse Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 3m
#1
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
99%
Rank
#1
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | Ffos Las | 5 | 0 | ||
| 2026-01-16 | Market Rasen | 4 | 0 | ||
| 2025-12-18 | Exeter | 3 | 0 | ||
| 2025-11-21 | Ascot | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-02-10 | Plumpton | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-01-27 | Plumpton | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1894% of fieldRange 4-11 · tight 71/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength62%
Delivery trend -2.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 18. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/12/2023 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |
| 23/01/2024 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 19/04/2024 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 25% | -0.12 |
| 18/10/2024 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 12/11/2024 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 28/11/2024 | 2nd | 6/5 | 94% | 86% | -0.08 |
| 27/01/2025 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 60% | -0.24 |
| 10/02/2025 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 70% | -0.12 |
| 21/11/2025 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |