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8

Whiskey Serenade

6yo Mare · 11-1 · OR 87

Fairyhouse · Fairyhouse Racecourse Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 3m

#9

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Hasn't gone on since a promising second at stable debut at Bellewstown in July (2½m). Now off 1 lb lower mark having finished well-held sixth of 16 on return to that track last time. Pedigree at least offers some hope that she'll stay this longer trip.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 6.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C9.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Sligo 01/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR - · 2m5f27y Yie 1591/10C?C0 @ Thurles 30/10/2025 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR - · 2m2f66y Goo 159BHA94 @ Cork 06/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 20 · OR 94 · 2m Yie 162 · below its mark06/04/2026 · OR 94 par6/0494OR 94BHA93 @ Clonmel 14/05/2026 · Pos 16th of 16 · OR 93 · 2m3f116y Goo 164 · below its mark14/05/2026 · OR 93 parBHA90 @ Wexford 27/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR 90 · 2m1f Goo 158 · below its mark27/05/2026 · OR 90 par27/0590OR 90BHA88 @ Bellewstown 04/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR 88 · 2m4f110y Gd 156 · below its mark04/07/2026 · OR 88 parBHA90 @ Ballinrobe 21/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR 90 · 2m6f41y Gd 159 · below its mark21/07/2026 · OR 90 par21/0790OR 90BHA89 @ Sligo 06/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 89 · 2m4f168y Gd 142 · below its mark06/08/2026 · OR 89 parBHA88 @ Bellewstown 26/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 16 · OR 88 · 2m4f110y Goo 158 · below its mark26/08/2026 · OR 88 par26/0888OR 88projClass-projected finish: 9th of 18
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-26BellewstownBHA886th6th0
2026-08-06SligoBHA896th6th0
2026-07-21BallinrobeBHA907th7th0
2026-07-04BellewstownBHA882nd2nd0
2026-05-27WexfordBHA906th6th0
2026-05-14ClonmelBHA9316th16th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/1014/0521/0726/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1853% of fieldRange 2-18 · tight 30/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength42%

Delivery trend +3.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 18. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/10/20256th10/147%50%+0.03
30/10/20259th12/137%20%-0.17
06/04/20267th11/142%68%+0.26
14/05/202616th10/147%0%-0.47
27/05/20266th14/126%62%+0.35
04/07/20262nd33/10%93%+0.93
21/07/20267th7/163%60%-0.03
06/08/20266th11/142%29%-0.14
26/08/20266th11/142%67%+0.25