5
Buck Wild
6yo Gelding · 8-12 · Draw 5 · OR 78
Finger Lakes · Race 1 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-23 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-26 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-04 | Finger Lakes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-27 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 68/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength93%
Delivery trend +2.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/02/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 05/05/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |
| 25/05/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 10/06/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 06/07/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 40% | +0.24 |
| 27/07/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 33% | -0.19 |
| 04/08/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 26/08/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 60% | +0.02 |
| 23/09/2026 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |