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7

Mo Curls

3yo Gelding · 8-9 · Draw 7 · OR 71

Finger Lakes · Race 3 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m 70y

#2

Rank

Odds

5/2

Win Prob

8%

Place Prob

19%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 4.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Aqueduct 11/12/2025 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 82 · 1m 119 · below its mark11/12/2025 · OR 82 par11/12C9OR 82C6 @ Aqueduct 14/02/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 72 · 1m Fas 122 · below its mark14/02/2026 · OR 72 parC6 @ Aqueduct 22/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 71 · 1m Fas 120 · beat its mark22/03/2026 · OR 71 par22/03C6OR 71C6 @ Aqueduct 18/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 72 · 1m110y Fm 122 · below its mark18/04/2026 · OR 72 parC6 @ Belmont At The Big A 10/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 75 · 1m 120 · below its mark10/05/2026 · OR 75 par10/05C6OR 75C9 @ Belmont At The Big A 20/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 74 · 7f Fas 121 · below its mark20/06/2026 · OR 74 parC6 @ Finger Lakes 13/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 70 · 1m70y Fas 120 · beat its mark13/07/2026 · OR 70 par13/07C6OR 70C9 @ Saratoga 15/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 4 · OR 72 · 1m110y Gd 121 · below its mark15/08/2026 · OR 72 parC9 @ Saratoga 03/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR 71 · 1m110y Gd 122 · below its mark03/09/2026 · OR 71 par3/09C9OR 71projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-03Saratoga?7th10th−3
2026-08-15Saratoga?2nd5th−3
2026-07-13Finger Lakes?2nd2nd0
2026-06-20Belmont At The Big A?6th9th−3
2026-05-10Belmont At The Big A?6th6th0
2026-04-18Aqueduct?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/1218/0413/073/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 59/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength77%

Delivery trend -3.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/12/20252nd4/596%80%-0.16
14/02/20266th20/10%29%+0.29
22/03/20262nd20/10%75%+0.75
18/04/20265th7/163%43%-0.20
10/05/20266th25/10%17%+0.17
20/06/20266th9/276%38%-0.39
13/07/20262nd3/184%86%+0.02
15/08/20262nd9/276%67%-0.10
03/09/20267th12/137%45%+0.09