Authentic Gini

2yo Filly · 8-10 · Draw 1 · OR 55

Finger Lakes · Race 4 - Maiden Special Weight · 5f 110y

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

87%

Place Prob

56%

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE

▲ AHEAD OF MARK

Move▼1

Strength37%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 3.5)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C5.3

Today:

Class gap: +0.8

Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-09-21	Finger Lakes	?	5th	3rd	+2	6.8
2026-09-09	Finger Lakes	?	2nd	2nd	0	8.0

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-1 · tight 71/100

▲ OVER-DELIVERING

Trend▲

Strength100%

Delivery trend +20.9% per run

What the projection says

Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is on the up.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
09/09/2026	2nd	3/1	84%	83%	-0.01
21/09/2026	5th	20/1	0%	20%	+0.20