7
Cadillac Mary
2yo Filly · 8-10 · Draw 7 · OR 73
Finger Lakes · Race 4 - Maiden Special Weight · 5f 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
6%
Place Prob
15%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.2
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Saratoga | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-07-23 | Saratoga | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 2-3 · tight 72/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength71%
Delivery trend +12.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/06/2026 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 33% | -0.56 |
| 23/07/2026 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 44% | -0.37 |
| 03/09/2026 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 45% | -0.31 |