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7

Alacrity

3yo Filly · 8-9 · Draw 7 · OR 26

Finger Lakes · Race 5 - Maiden Special Weight · 6f

#10

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Finger Lakes 15/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR - · 1m Fas 12015/07C6C6 @ Finger Lakes 12/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 33 · 1m70y 120 · beat its mark12/08/2026 · OR 33 par12/08C6OR 33C9 @ Finger Lakes 01/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 28 · 5f110y 120 · beat its mark01/09/2026 · OR 28 par1/09C9OR 28projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-01Finger Lakes?5th8th−3
2026-08-12Finger Lakes?5th5th0
2026-07-15Finger Lakes?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/0712/081/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 9-10 · tight 73/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -10.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/07/20265th33/10%20%+0.20
12/08/20265th40/10%20%+0.20
01/09/20265th25/10%0%0.00