1
Lookie Here
4yo Filly · 8-12 · Draw 1 · OR 64
Finger Lakes · Race 5 - Maiden Special Weight · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
7%
Place Prob
16%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▲2
Strength12%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.7
Today:
Class gap: -1.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-05 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-01-23 | Aqueduct | ? | 3rd | 6th | −3 |
| 2026-01-02 | Aqueduct | ? | 4th | 7th | −3 |
| 2025-09-06 | Monmouth Park | ? | 9th | 12th | −3 |
| 2025-07-26 | Monmouth Park | ? | 4th | 7th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 74/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +6.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/05/2025 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 67% | -0.04 |
| 26/07/2025 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 06/09/2025 | 9th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 02/01/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 40% | +0.14 |
| 23/01/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 33% | -0.27 |
| 05/08/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 86% | +0.59 |
| 07/09/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 83% | +0.10 |