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4

Miel Et Citron

4yo Filly · 8-12 · Draw 4 · OR 60

Finger Lakes · Race 5 - Maiden Special Weight · 6f

#7

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 9.0 /10 (raw 7.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.0
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Gulfstream 09/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR - · 5f110y Fas 1269/04C6C6 @ Saratoga 04/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 34 · 5f110y Fm 126 · beat its mark04/06/2026 · OR 34 par4/06C6OR 34C6 @ Belmont At The Big A 25/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 44 · 1m1f110y Fm 126 · beat its mark25/06/2026 · OR 44 par25/06C6OR 44C9 @ Saratoga 12/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR 46 · 5f110y Fm 126 · below its mark12/07/2026 · OR 46 par12/07C9OR 46C9 @ Saratoga 12/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 53 · 5f110y Fm 126 · below its mark12/08/2026 · OR 53 par12/08C9OR 53
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-12Saratoga?6th9th−3
2026-07-12Saratoga?10th13th−3
2026-06-25Belmont At The Big A?6th6th0
2026-06-04Saratoga?10th10th0
2026-04-09Gulfstream?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/044/0625/0612/0712/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 1-2 · tight 80/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength97%

Delivery trend +9.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/04/20267th25/10%0%0.00
04/06/202610th50/10%0%0.00
25/06/20266th50/10%0%0.00
12/07/202610th50/10%18%+0.18
12/08/20266th100/10%38%+0.38