9

That's Amore
3yo Filly · 8-9 · Draw 9 · OR 57
Finger Lakes · Race 5 - Maiden Special Weight · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▲2
Strength6%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Class-adjusted form 7.7 /10 (raw 6.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.1
Today:
Class gap: -2.1
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Saratoga | ? | 5th | 8th | −3 |
| 2026-07-23 | Saratoga | ? | 3rd | 6th | −3 |
| 2026-06-22 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-21 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 10th | −3 |
| 2026-02-05 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 7th | −3 |
| 2026-01-17 | Gulfstream | ? | 8th | 11th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 1-3 · tight 81/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +9.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09/2025 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 06/10/2025 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 20% | -0.59 |
| 24/12/2025 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 17/01/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 05/02/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 21/03/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 22/06/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 23/07/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 26/08/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 56% | +0.29 |