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3

Ty Ty Rose

3yo Filly · 8-9 · Draw 3 · OR 56

Finger Lakes · Race 5 - Maiden Special Weight · 6f

#1

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

77%

Place Prob

54%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength11%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 4.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Saratoga 17/07/2025 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 5f110y 11917/07C6C6 @ Saratoga 31/07/2025 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 59 · 6f Slo 119 · beat its mark31/07/2025 · OR 59 par31/07C6OR 59C6 @ Belmont At The Big A 12/09/2025 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 65 · 7f 119 · below its mark12/09/2025 · OR 65 par12/09C6OR 65C9 @ Aqueduct 07/12/2025 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 60 · 6f 119 · below its mark07/12/2025 · OR 60 par7/12C9OR 60C6 @ Finger Lakes 05/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 54 · 5f110y Fas 120 · beat its mark05/08/2026 · OR 54 par5/08C6OR 54projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-05Finger Lakes?3rd3rd0
2025-12-07Aqueduct?6th9th−3
2025-09-12Belmont At The Big A?5th5th0
2025-07-31Saratoga?4th4th0
2025-07-17Saratoga?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/0731/0712/097/125/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 1-10 · tight 27/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength77%

Delivery trend +4.6% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/07/20256th14/126%38%+0.11
31/07/20254th9/153%50%-0.03
12/09/20255th7/282%0%-0.82
07/12/20256th9/153%29%-0.24
05/08/20263rd14/126%71%+0.45