1
Bajan Sugar
2yo Gelding · 8-10 · Draw 1 · OR 37
Finger Lakes · Race 6 - Maiden Special Weight · 5f 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
5%
Place Prob
13%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARK
Move▼2
Strength28%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: +1.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-21 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 3-8 · tight 50/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▬
Strength21%
Delivery trend +0.0% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 7th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |