2
Bayou Melody
7yo Mare · 8-6 · Draw 2 · OR 68
Finger Lakes · Race 7 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-21 | Finger Lakes | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-09-08 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-25 | Finger Lakes | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-17 | Finger Lakes | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-29 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 4-6 · tight 76/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▬
Strength31%
Delivery trend -1.8% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 5th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/04/2026 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 80% | -0.11 |
| 12/05/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 86% | +0.23 |
| 03/06/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 29/06/2026 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 14/07/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 60% | +0.13 |
| 17/08/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 25/08/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 08/09/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 20% | -0.17 |
| 21/09/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |