Inouaintalkintome
8yo Mare · 8-10 · Draw 5 · OR 77
Finger Lakes · Race 7 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.4 /10 (raw 3.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-16 | Finger Lakes | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-08-25 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-05 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-06-22 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
| 2026-06-01 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -0.2% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 3rd of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10/2025 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 04/11/2025 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 67% | -0.23 |
| 19/11/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 01/06/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 83% | +0.36 |
| 22/06/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 75% | +0.04 |
| 07/07/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 05/08/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 83% | +0.12 |
| 25/08/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 83% | +0.02 |
| 16/09/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 25% | -0.01 |