IvyArcIvyArc
5

Drew's Candy

3yo Filly · 8-9 · Draw 5 · OR 46

Finger Lakes · Race 8 - Maiden Special Weight · 6f

#2

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

5%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength8%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Finger Lakes 06/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 5f110y 1206/07C6C6 @ Finger Lakes 10/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 59 · 6f 120 · below its mark10/08/2026 · OR 59 par10/08C6OR 59C6 @ Finger Lakes 25/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 59 · 1m70y 120 · beat its mark25/08/2026 · OR 59 par25/08C6OR 59projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-25Finger Lakes?7th7th0
2026-08-10Finger Lakes?6th6th0
2026-07-06Finger Lakes?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/0710/0825/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 7-10 · tight 65/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -48.2% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/07/20263rd16/116%71%+0.56
10/08/20266th4/179%17%-0.62
25/08/20267th13/266%25%-0.41