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3yo Filly · 8-9 · Draw 10 · OR 56
Finger Lakes · Race 8 - Maiden Special Weight · 6f
#4
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength6%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.9 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.2
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-09 | Aqueduct | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-03-27 | Aqueduct | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-02-06 | Aqueduct | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 55/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength81%
Delivery trend +14.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/02/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 27/03/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 29% | -0.40 |
| 09/04/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 17% | +0.01 |