3
Gambler's Pose
6yo Mare · 8-10 · Draw 3 · OR 65
Fort Erie · Race 1 - Claiming · 7f
#4
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
7%
Place Prob
14%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength40%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Fort Erie | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-30 | Fort Erie | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-11 | Fort Erie | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-20 | Fort Erie | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | Fort Erie | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Fort Erie | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 37/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength53%
Delivery trend -2.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08/2025 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 14% | -0.02 |
| 09/09/2025 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 14% | -0.02 |
| 06/10/2025 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 25% | -0.41 |
| 21/06/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 25% | -0.22 |
| 07/07/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 60% | +0.34 |
| 20/07/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 50% | -0.37 |
| 11/08/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 30/08/2026 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 0% | -0.86 |
| 14/09/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 14% | -0.02 |