5
Black Goddess
4yo Filly · 8-10 · Draw 5 · OR 63
Fort Erie · Race 2 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 5.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-21 | Woodbine | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-06 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-05 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 50% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 40/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength39%
Delivery trend -10.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 5. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10/2025 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 55% | +0.02 |
| 13/11/2025 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |
| 12/12/2025 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 22/05/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 60% | -0.01 |
| 06/06/2026 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 17% | -0.44 |
| 05/07/2026 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 14% | -0.65 |
| 06/08/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 21/08/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 13/09/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |