2
Free Charging
5yo Mare · 8-8 · Draw 2 · OR 61
Fort Erie · Race 3 - Claiming · 7f
#4
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength23%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-28 | Fort Erie | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-09-14 | Fort Erie | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-31 | Fort Erie | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-17 | Fort Erie | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Fort Erie | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 68/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▼
Strength81%
Delivery trend -3.9% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/04/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 02/05/2026 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 31/05/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 19/06/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 28/07/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 40% | +0.24 |
| 17/08/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |
| 31/08/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 83% | +0.36 |
| 14/09/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 83% | +0.12 |
| 28/09/2026 | 3rd | 6/4 | 92% | 60% | -0.32 |