7
Ryo Amazing
5yo Mare · 8-8 · Draw 7 · OR 57
Fort Erie · Race 3 - Claiming · 7f
#7
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.2
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Woodbine | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-06 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-05 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-05-15 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2025-12-12 | Woodbine | ? | 8th | 9th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 68/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +5.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10/2025 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 25% | -0.49 |
| 10/10/2025 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 50% | -0.13 |
| 15/11/2025 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 70% | +0.07 |
| 12/12/2025 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 30% | +0.04 |
| 15/05/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 29% | +0.02 |
| 05/06/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 71% | +0.14 |
| 09/07/2026 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 06/08/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 40% | -0.18 |
| 10/09/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |