1

Ya No

3yo Filly · 8-8 · Draw 1 · OR 53

Fort Erie · Race 3 - Claiming · 7f

#1

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

95%

Place Prob

78%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▼1
Strength76%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 1 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 6.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC7 @ Woodbine 22/08/2025 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR - · 5f Fas 118 · HIGHER CLASS22/08C7C7 @ Woodbine 20/09/2025 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR - · 5f110y 118 · HIGHER CLASSC7 @ Woodbine 10/10/2025 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR 100 · 6f 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark10/10/2025 · OR 100 par10/10C7OR 100C9 @ Woodbine 11/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 57 · 6f110y Fas 119 · below its mark11/06/2026 · OR 57 parC9 @ Woodbine 05/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 32 · 6f110y Fas 120 · beat its mark05/07/2026 · OR 32 par5/07C9OR 32C6 @ Fort Erie 28/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 39 · 7f Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark28/07/2026 · OR 39 parC5 @ Fort Erie 18/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 51 · 7f Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark18/08/2026 · OR 51 par18/08C5OR 51C5 @ Fort Erie 07/09/2026 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR 53 · 1m110y Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark07/09/2026 · OR 53 par7/09C5OR 53projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-07Fort Erie?11th7th+3
2026-08-18Fort Erie?5th2nd+3
2026-07-28Fort Erie?1st-1th+2
2026-07-05Woodbine?4th5th−1
2026-06-11Woodbine?5th6th−1
2025-10-10Woodbine?11th10th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/0811/0618/087/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 59/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▲
Strength73%

Delivery trend +4.6% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/08/202510th14/126%0%-0.26
20/09/20257th10/147%0%-0.47
10/10/202511th33/10%0%0.00
11/06/20265th25/10%43%+0.43
05/07/20264th13/266%40%-0.26
28/07/20261st7/282%100%+0.18
18/08/20265th10/147%43%-0.05
07/09/202611th33/10%0%0.00