
Ya No
3yo Filly · 8-8 · Draw 1 · OR 53
Fort Erie · Race 3 - Claiming · 7f
#1
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
95%
Place Prob
78%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 6.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Fort Erie | ? | 11th | 7th | +3 |
| 2026-08-18 | Fort Erie | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2026-07-28 | Fort Erie | ? | 1st | -1th | +2 |
| 2026-07-05 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-06-11 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2025-10-10 | Woodbine | ? | 11th | 10th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +4.6% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08/2025 | 10th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 20/09/2025 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 10/10/2025 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 11/06/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 05/07/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 40% | -0.26 |
| 28/07/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 18/08/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 43% | -0.05 |
| 07/09/2026 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |