2

Voice From Above
5yo Mare · 8-12 · Draw 2 · OR 83
Fort Erie · Race 4 - Allowance · 1m 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
9/5
Win Prob
12%
Place Prob
21%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: -1.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Fort Erie | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-08-17 | Fort Erie | ? | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2026-08-03 | Fort Erie | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-06-26 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 8th | −3 |
| 2026-05-22 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 8th | −2 |
| 2026-05-08 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 7th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 550% of fieldRange 1-3 · tight 70/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength78%
Delivery trend +2.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 5. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10/2025 | 7th | 11/4 | 86% | 50% | -0.36 |
| 25/10/2025 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 86% | +0.00 |
| 15/11/2025 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 80% | +0.01 |
| 08/05/2026 | 5th | 11/8 | 93% | 33% | -0.59 |
| 22/05/2026 | 6th | 10/3 | 82% | 17% | -0.66 |
| 26/06/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 33% | -0.19 |
| 03/08/2026 | 2nd | 1/1 | 95% | 75% | -0.20 |
| 17/08/2026 | 3rd | 11/8 | 93% | 71% | -0.21 |
| 07/09/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |