2
Maynard's Song
3yo Gelding · 8-8 · Draw 2 · OR 72
Fort Erie · Race 5 - Claiming · 6f
#4
Rank
Odds
9/5
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-14 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 32/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength71%
Delivery trend -14.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/06/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 14/08/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 33% | -0.19 |
| 13/09/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 80% | +0.09 |