1
Miah Said
6yo Gelding · 8-8 · Draw 1 · OR 67
Fort Erie · Race 5 - Claiming · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength1%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Fort Erie | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-31 | Fort Erie | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-14 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 3-6 · tight 64/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength6%
Delivery trend -4.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/11/2025 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 26/04/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 24/05/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 19/06/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 75% | +0.38 |
| 10/07/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 33% | -0.35 |
| 24/07/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 67% | +0.01 |
| 14/08/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 17% | -0.49 |
| 31/08/2026 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 0% | -0.63 |
| 15/09/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |