Switchin' To Glide
4yo Gelding · 8-10 · Draw 6 · OR 68
Fort Erie · Race 5 - Claiming · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 4.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-20 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-24 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-05-10 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +5.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/11/2025 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 13/12/2025 | 8th | 4/1 | 79% | 22% | -0.57 |
| 25/04/2026 | 4th | 6/4 | 92% | 40% | -0.52 |
| 10/05/2026 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 25% | -0.33 |
| 24/05/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 86% | +0.07 |
| 20/06/2026 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 20/07/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 07/08/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 38% | +0.11 |
| 13/09/2026 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 60% | -0.29 |