Go Junior Go

2yo Colt · 8-8 · Draw 4 · OR 47

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 1 - Maiden Claiming · 5f 110y

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▼ OVER-MARKED

Move▼1

Strength52%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C7.4

Today:

Class gap: +1.1

Higher-class runs: 2

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-09-04	Colonial Downs	?	8th	8th	0	2.0
2026-08-16	Colonial Downs	?	4th	2nd	+2	8.4
2026-07-12	Colonial Downs	?	2nd	2nd	0	8.0
2026-06-06	Gulfstream	?	8th	5th	+3	5.0

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 8-8 · tight 82/100

▼ UNDER-DELIVERING

Trend▼

Strength0%

Delivery trend -27.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
06/06/2026	8th	25/1	0%	0%	0.00
12/07/2026	2nd	8/1	58%	88%	+0.30
16/08/2026	4th	3/1	84%	25%	-0.59
04/09/2026	8th	15/2	61%	0%	-0.61