Uncle With Money

2yo Gelding · 8-8 · Draw 2 · OR 68

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 1 - Maiden Claiming · 5f 110y

Rank

Odds

5/2

Win Prob

96%

Place Prob

69%

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▼ OVER-MARKED

Move▼3

Strength78%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.8 /10 (raw 4.8)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C6.0

Today:

Class gap: +2.5

Higher-class runs: 4

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-09-16	Churchill Downs	?	10th	7th	+3	3.0
2026-08-05	Horseshoe Indianapolis	?	3rd	0th	+3	5.0
2026-04-25	Churchill Downs	?	3rd	0th	+3	5.0
2026-04-09	Keeneland	?	3rd	0th	+3	5.0

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 3-8 · tight 50/100

▼ UNDER-DELIVERING

Trend▼

Strength28%

Delivery trend -18.7% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 8. Recent form is easing off.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
09/04/2026	3rd	9/1	53%	50%	-0.03
25/04/2026	3rd	9/1	53%	67%	+0.14
05/08/2026	3rd	4/1	79%	80%	+0.01
16/09/2026	10th	15/2	61%	0%	-0.61