6
Appeazing
3yo Filly · 8-6 · Draw 6 · OR 60
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 2 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
13%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength45%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.9
Today:
Class gap: +0.6
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-26 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-04-07 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2025-09-17 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 2-7 · tight 46/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength39%
Delivery trend -0.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09/2025 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 60% | -0.11 |
| 07/04/2026 | 3rd | 10/11 | 95% | 80% | -0.15 |
| 26/05/2026 | 4th | 7/4 | 91% | 57% | -0.34 |
| 04/07/2026 | 1st | 2/5 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 22/08/2026 | 9th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 14/09/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 43% | +0.06 |