Bebecita
3yo Filly · 8-6 · Draw 1 · OR 69
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 2 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 4.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-30 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 9th | 6th | +3 |
| 2026-06-23 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2026-06-10 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-05 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -1.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 60% | -0.14 |
| 28/10/2025 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 86% | +0.00 |
| 10/11/2025 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 05/05/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 40% | +0.03 |
| 10/06/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 23/06/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 70% | +0.23 |
| 10/07/2026 | 9th | 10/1 | 47% | 11% | -0.36 |
| 30/07/2026 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 83% | -0.08 |
| 22/08/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |