3

Filly Named Bruzz

3yo Filly · 8-6 · Draw 3 · OR 74

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 2 - Claiming · 5f 110y

#1

Rank

Odds

9/5

Win Prob

96%

Place Prob

72%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▼2
Strength64%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.4 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: +2.0
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 29/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR - · 6f 121 · HIGHER CLASS29/04C6C0 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 10/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 5f110y Slo 12010/06C?C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 07/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 79 · 5f110y 118 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark07/07/2026 · OR 79 par7/07C5OR 79C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 21/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 4 · OR 81 · 5f110y 115 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark21/09/2026 · OR 81 par21/09C6OR 81projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-21Horseshoe Indianapolis?4th2nd+2
2026-07-07Horseshoe Indianapolis?4th1st+3
2026-06-10Horseshoe Indianapolis?7th7th0
2026-04-29Horseshoe Indianapolis?1st-1th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/0410/067/0721/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 6-7 · tight 76/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -26.1% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/04/20261st7/282%100%+0.18
10/06/20267th7/282%45%-0.36
07/07/20264th5/287%50%-0.37
21/09/20264th6/168%0%-0.68