Sarah's Smiles
5yo Mare · 8-10 · Draw 2 · OR 60
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 2 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-30 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-14 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +14.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11/2025 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 33% | -0.35 |
| 07/04/2026 | 6th | 3/1 | 84% | 0% | -0.84 |
| 02/05/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 40% | -0.28 |
| 14/05/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 15/06/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 60% | -0.01 |
| 10/07/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 30/07/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |
| 22/08/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 25% | -0.01 |
| 09/09/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |