4

Secret Vow
3yo Filly · 8-8 · Draw 4 · OR 36
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 2 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength13%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.7
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-28 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-06-22 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 9th | 7th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-1 · tight 77/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +57.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/06/2026 | 9th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |
| 28/07/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 08/09/2026 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |