IvyArcIvyArc
7

Turbo Lady

4yo Filly · 8-10 · Draw 7 · OR 66

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 2 - Claiming · 5f 110y

#3

Rank

Odds

5/2

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

8%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▼2
Strength83%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.7 /10 (raw 3.1)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.4
Today:
Class gap: +2.1
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 23/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 57 · 6f 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark23/09/2025 · OR 57 par23/09C6OR 57C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 16/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 4 · OR 57 · 5f110y 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark16/10/2025 · OR 57 parC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 12/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 62 · 6f 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark12/11/2025 · OR 62 par12/11C6OR 62C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 14/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 64 · 5f110y 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark14/04/2026 · OR 64 parC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 01/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 62 · 1m 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark01/05/2026 · OR 62 par1/05C5OR 62C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 06/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 66 · 1m70y Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark06/06/2026 · OR 66 parC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 16/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 67 · 6f 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark16/06/2026 · OR 67 par16/06C5OR 67C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 24/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 65 · 6f 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark24/08/2026 · OR 65 parC8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 09/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 65 · 6f 122 · below its mark09/09/2026 · OR 65 par9/09C8OR 65projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-09Horseshoe Indianapolis?4th4th0
2026-08-24Horseshoe Indianapolis?2nd-1th+3
2026-06-16Horseshoe Indianapolis?7th4th+3
2026-06-06Horseshoe Indianapolis?2nd-1th+3
2026-05-01Horseshoe Indianapolis?2nd-1th+3
2026-04-14Horseshoe Indianapolis?5th2nd+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/0914/0416/069/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 59/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength73%

Delivery trend +1.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 7.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/09/20253rd10/1195%60%-0.35
16/10/20252nd13/891%67%-0.25
12/11/20251st2/189%100%+0.11
14/04/20265th4/179%33%-0.46
01/05/20262nd5/287%83%-0.04
06/06/20262nd7/491%86%-0.05
16/06/20267th15/261%0%-0.61
24/08/20262nd15/261%83%+0.23
09/09/20264th11/893%63%-0.30